With markets sliding due to supply chain disruption, coronavirus could have dramatic impacts on 2020 election It allows our most engaged readers to debate the big issues, share their own experiences, discuss real-world solutions, and more. “It's not so much a question of if this will happen anymore, but rather more a question of exactly when this will happen and how many people in this country will have severe illness.”.So far, the CDC has confirmed 14 cases in the United States, with two of those contracting the disease in the US and 12 who appeared to have contracted the virus while traveling abroad before returning to the country.Meanwhile, another 45 people have been repatriated to the US after contracting the disease abroad, including 42 people who were on the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship.Independent Premium Comments can be posted by members of our membership scheme, Independent Premium. Stony Brook political science professor, Helmut Norpoth, has predicted successfully the outcomes of five of the past six presidential elections since 1996, and he's now predicting that President Donald Trump has a 91% chance of winning the election in November. Our journalists will try to respond by joining the threads when they can to create a true meeting of independent Premium. Start your Independent Premium subscription today.A professor who has correctly predicted every US presidential election since 1984 says that the,“One of the big issues that is clearly hanging fire is what’s going to happen to the economy in light of the coronavirus crisis,” Mr Lichtman told.“Nobody knows where this coronavirus thing is going, but the big institutions are already sharply downgrading their economic predictions for the year,” he said.Mr Lichtman’s prediction system is known as the “Keys to the White House” model, and operates under the assumption that presidential election results are impacted primarily by the performance of the party holding office in the run of to the vote.A man wearing a face mask crosses a road in Wuhan, the epicentre of the novel coronavirus outbreak.A view of the empty entrance to the Università Cattolica (Catholic University) in Milan, northern Italy, on 24 February, 2020.Empty streets in Daegu, South Korea, on 23 February, 2020.Empty streets in Daegu, South Korea, on 23 February 2020.A lone sanitation worker sits near the closed Hankou Railway Station in Wuhan, Hubei province, China, on February 24, 2020.A view of a deserted street in Codogno, northern Italy, on February 23, 2020.Italian police officers set a road block in Codogno, Northern Italy, on Monday, Feb. 24, 2020.A supermarket closed in Codogno, one the northern Italian towns placed under lockdown, on February 23, 2020.A lone cyclist wearing sanitary masks pedals in the center of Codogno, Northern Italy.An empty road at the entrance of the small Italian town of Codogno on February 23, 2020.According to the theory, Americans choose their president based upon how well the sitting president has responded to and shaped consequential events of their term.Everything else — like media advertising, debates, news coverage and television appearances — is disregarded by the electorate on Election Day as they evaluate the president.Mr Lichtman said that there are several troubling signs for Mr Trump, including election losses for his party during the 2018 midterm elections, a lack of major foreign policy successes, ongoing scandal and the fact that Mr Trump is not a broadly appealing candidate (while the president enjoys strong support among Republicans, his approval is relatively low among the rest of the electorate).The coronavirus outbreak has rattled US markets in recent days, as the threat has disrupted global supply chains and scared investors.In the US, officials with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have said that an outbreak in the country is inevitable at this point.“We expect we will see community spread in this country,” said Dr Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. 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